World demand for Opec's oil will be stronger than expected next year, the producer group said today, the latest sign that a more positive economic outlook will boost oil consumption.
The 12-member group is the latest forecaster to lift its oil demand estimates in the past week, following upward revisions from the International Energy Agency and the US government's Energy Information Administration.
Demand for Opec crude will average 28.39 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2010, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said in a monthly report. That is up 300,000 bpd from its previous forecast.
"The world economy now appears to be entering into a new phase, moving from a period of containing the crisis to one of economic recovery," Opec said in the report.
Opec also raised its forecast for world oil demand growth in 2010, seeing an increase in world oil use of 700,000 bpd, up 200,000 bpd from the previous estimate.
Since September last year, OPEC has been holding down its production as the recession eroded demand. The group agreed to keep supply curbs of 4.2 million bpd at a Sept. 9 meeting.
Oil prices rose on today. US crude was up $1.08 at $74.35 as of 1120 GMT, nearing its 2009 high of $75.00.
The report said Opec production was rising, despite the agreement last month to hold output steady.
In September, supply from the 11 Opec members subject to output targets - all except Iraq - rose to 26.42 million bpd, Opec said. That cut compliance with output curbs to 62 per cent from 64 percent in August.
While seeing a more positive economic outlook, Opec also sounded a note of caution. It next meets to decide its oil output policy in December.
"Given weak oil market fundamentals as reflected in high global inventories and large OPEC spare capacity, there is a need for continued close monitoring of both economic conditions and developments in the oil market."
Reuters