Shares soar to record highs on global recovery hopes

Nikkei hits 30-year high as hopes for vaccines, US stimulus, turbocharge sentiment

The Nikkei hit its highest level since August 1990. Photograph: KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images
The Nikkei hit its highest level since August 1990. Photograph: KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images

Global shares rallied, with Japan's Nikkei hitting a three-decade peak, while US Treasuries extended their steepest sell-off in months on Friday as investors looked beyond rising coronavirus cases and political unrest in the United States to focus on hopes for an economic recovery later in the year.

Europe’s Euro STOXX 600 opened up 0.7 per cent, with Frankfurt’s index up 0.8 per cent after German industrial output and exports rose in November. US S&P 500 e-mini stock futures also pointed to a cheery open, rising 0.51 per cent.

The upbeat mood came after Wall Street hit record highs on Thursday, while bond prices fell as markets bet a new Democratic-controlled US government would lead to heavy spending and borrowing to support the country’s economic recovery. Investors were also awaiting US non-farm payrolls data due later in the day to gauge the jobs market’s health.

"Investors are buying the end of an erratic Trump administration and looking forward to something new, which is a Biden presidency and the prospect of a significant spending programme," said Francois Savary, chief investment officer at Swiss wealth manager Prime Partners. "People are going for cyclical names and this is driving the market forward but there has to be care taken as this relies on a rebound in the economy in the coming quarters."

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The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in almost 50 countries, rose 0.4 per cent, extending its push into record territory and set to close out its best week since late November.

In Asia, South Korea’s Kospi led the way, charging 4 per cent higher, its best daily showing in nearly seven months, while the Nikkei added 2.36 per cent, hitting its highest level since August 1990. The dollar-denominated Nikkei share average rose above its 1989 peak to a record high.

Bucking the trend, Chinese blue-chip shares fell 0.3 per cent, retreating from a 13-year high, after index providers MSCI and FTSE Russell said they would cut three Chinese telecom companies from their benchmarks after the close on Friday in response to a US investment ban.

The announcements, which means global funds have one day to adjust billions of dollars of passive investments, wiped a combined $5.6 billion off the value of their Hong Kong-traded shares on Friday. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 1.1 per cent despite reports that the Trump administration was considering banning U.S. entities from investing in an expanded list of Chinese companies in the waning days of his presidency.

On Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.69 per cent, the S&P 500 gained 1.48 per cent and the Nasdaq Composite added 2.56 per cent - with all three indexes finishing at record closing highs. The gains follow expectations that Democratic control of both U.S. houses of Congress will help the party of President-elect Joe Biden push through larger fiscal stimulus and comes despite political unrest in Washington, DC.

US government officials have begun weighing removing President Donald Trump from office before Biden’s inauguration date of January 20th, after Trump supporters stormed the US Capitol building.

Rising risk appetite weighed on bonds, with the benchmark 10-year bond yield scaling a fresh high since March. Ten-year notes yielded 1.1 per cent on Friday, up from 1.017 per cent on Thursday. The dollar held onto its gains helped by the rising yields. The dollar index gained 0.35 per cent against a basket of currencies to 90.121 with the euro down 0.45 per cent to $1.2216.

"We're sure to see a synchronised global recovery in the second half of this year," said ING analyst Carsten Brzeski. "Right now, there's lots of concern about the virus and noise surrounding the vaccine. But we need to take a slightly longer view."

Cryptocurrency bitcoin fell about 2 per cent to $38,733 after topping $40,000 for the first time on Thursday on high demand from institutional and retail investors. Market watchers have said a pullback is likely following its recent run-up.

In commodity markets, oil traders continued to focus on Saudi Arabia’s pledge to deepen production cuts. Brent crude was up 0.51 per cent at $54.66 a barrel, near 11-month highs. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose 0.45 per cent to $51.06. Both benchmarks are on track for weekly gains of more than 5 per cent. Spot gold dipped 1.3 per cent to $1,888.46 per ounce as the US dollar and Treasury yields firmed. – Reuters