Euro zone inflation to fall, says survey

Inflation in the euro zone is set to continue its decline in September but will remain above the European Central Bank's 2 per…

Inflation in the euro zone is set to continue its decline in September but will remain above the European Central Bank's 2 per cent target ceiling, a survey says.

The mean of 20 forecasts in the survey due on Wednesday showed the harmonised index of consumer prices up 2.4 per cent year-on-year in September from 2.7 per cent in August and an eight-year peak of 3.4 per cent in May.

The month-on-month rise is forecast at 0.2 per cent from unchanged in August.

Recent data from Germany - flat on the month in September and up 2.1 per cent on the year - suggest inflationary pressures from higher oil and food prices over the past year are abating.

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Analysts said the oil price rise in September after the attacks on the US to above $31 per barrel, the highest since last December, was brief and would not unduly impact the month-on-month change in the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP).

Brent crude in London was trading around $21.70 per barrel earlier today.

Looking ahead, HICP is expected by many to fall below the ceiling in the first quarter of next year, although a rise is predicted next January when the index absorbs French and German rises in tobacco taxes.