BEIJING – China’s most populous province is trying to ease the country’s decades old “one-child” policy, with officials saying the high cost of raising children is enough to hold down birthrates.
The southern export hub of Guangdong has applied to the central government to allow qualified couples to have two children if either the husband or the wife is an only child, the official English-language China Daily newspaper said yesterday.
“The province . . . is now waiting for approval to be the leader in the country in the relaxation of the family-planning policy,” said Zhang Feng, director of the Guangdong population and family-planning commission.
After decades of rapid economic growth in the world’s most populous nation, many of China’s newly affluent are putting pressure on officials to ease away from restrictions that have been in place since the early 1980s.
The Guangdong case could set a pattern for other regions.
Even as the one-child policy has created a host of new problems, including uneven and coercive enforcement measures as well as a severe gender imbalance to name a few, China’s huge population of 1.34 billion still exerts severe strains on the country’s resources and the environment.
However, proponents of a change have new economic arguments to support their case.
China’s most recent census released in April shows the proportion of young Chinese is shrinking as the elderly population grows, a fact many demographers have warned could choke the world’s fastest-growing major economy as fewer people are left to work and pay for a greying population.
The latest national population figure, based on the 2010 census, was up 5.9 per cent from the 1.27 billion counted in 2000, but lower than the 1.4 billion population some demographers had projected for the latest tally.
Guangdong’s birth rate had remained low for more than 10 years, Mr Zhang said, with women there giving birth to 1.7 children on average over the past decade.
Nationwide, government controls on family size have brought down annual population growth to below 1 per cent and the rate is projected to start falling in coming years, raising worrying questions about a greying population.
While the central government enforces the one-child policy unevenly – couples in many urban areas who are themselves single children are permitted two of their own – policy makers have shown little intention of abandoning it.
Mr Zhang said easing the policy would not lead to a baby boom because the cost of giving birth and raising children had risen steeply. Annual inflation reached 6.4 per cent in June.
While China is now the second-largest economy in the world, it ranks far lower on a per-capita basis. – (Reuters)