Consumer sentiment declines

Consumer sentiment fell in May as the uncertainty around the future of the euro zone and the fiscal treaty referendum weighed…

Consumer sentiment fell in May as the uncertainty around the future of the euro zone and the fiscal treaty referendum weighed on consumers.

The KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI Consumer Sentiment Index fell from 62.5 to 61 last month, the first time it has fallen since December.

The decline was seen as an “inevitable correction” following a steady rise in sentiment since the start of the year.

However, KBC said this did not mean that there was a change in trend, with the three month moving average of the series showing a rise in May to 61.4 from 60.1.

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“We don’t think the May reading signals a dramatic shift in thinking among Irish consumers. Instead, it emphasises the fragile and patchy nature of what is a fairly tentative turnaround in consumer sentiment and in the broader Irish economy,” said KBC chief economist Austin Hughes.

“The 1.5 point drop in the index between April and May has to be seen in the context of the 3.3 point average monthly gain seen thus far in 2012. So, last month's decline was relatively modest.”

The weakened sentiment was likely a result of domestic influences, the survey said, with European consumer confidence rising marginally during the month.

“The broad array of US indicators of consumer confidence produced mixed results but the closest counterpart to the Irish measure; the sentiment index compiled by the University of Michigan, registered a modest gain that was enough to bring it to its highest level in four years,” it said.

The sharpest drop was observed regarding the general economic outlook, with increased worries over the deteriorating situation in the euro zone blamed for the fall.

A similar pattern was seen in Spain, Italy and the Netherlands.

Ciara O'Brien

Ciara O'Brien

Ciara O'Brien is an Irish Times business and technology journalist